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Quantitative Methods: Econometrics, Surveys, and Structured Data

Manual: General · Subject: Social Sciences

This lesson develops graduate-level quantitative reasoning for social science using regression, panel data, multilevel models, and survey inference.

Statistical Modeling for Social Data

Regression as Conditional Comparison

Regression models estimate associations conditional on covariates, often as a stepping-stone to causal claims. In social science, the challenge is not just fitting the model but understanding assumptions about linearity, independence, selection, and missingness.

Frequently Used Models

OLS regression
Estimates average conditional relationships for continuous outcomes.
Logistic regression
Models binary outcomes using log-odds.
Fixed effects model
Controls for unobserved time-invariant heterogeneity.
Multilevel model
Represents hierarchical dependence across units.
SEM
Combines latent measurement and structural relations.

Panel Data and Heterogeneity

Panel data allow researchers to observe the same units across time, making it possible to study change, persistence, and within-unit dynamics. However, panel models also face attrition, time-varying confounding, and unmodeled dependence. The frontier concerns dynamic treatment effects, staggered adoption, and models robust to heterogeneous trajectories.

Quantitative Data Sources

Survey data

  • Rich on attitudes and self-reported behavior
  • Subject to nonresponse and social desirability bias
  • Useful for measurement of latent constructs

Administrative or transaction data

  • Large-scale and behaviorally proximate
  • Often limited in construct coverage
  • May have access and privacy constraints
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Inference Tip

Always distinguish sampling uncertainty from model uncertainty. A precise estimate can still be deeply biased.

What is one main advantage of fixed effects models?

Why can large administrative datasets still produce weak social-scientific inference?

Frontier Methods

Current quantitative work increasingly uses causal machine learning, Bayesian hierarchical models, synthetic controls, and measurement models that integrate text, networks, and geospatial data. A major open problem is to combine predictive performance with interpretability and credible causal identification.

Which issue is most closely associated with survey research?