Quantitative Methods: Econometrics, Surveys, and Structured Data
Statistical Modeling for Social Data
Regression as Conditional Comparison
Regression models estimate associations conditional on covariates, often as a stepping-stone to causal claims. In social science, the challenge is not just fitting the model but understanding assumptions about linearity, independence, selection, and missingness.
Frequently Used Models
Panel Data and Heterogeneity
Panel data allow researchers to observe the same units across time, making it possible to study change, persistence, and within-unit dynamics. However, panel models also face attrition, time-varying confounding, and unmodeled dependence. The frontier concerns dynamic treatment effects, staggered adoption, and models robust to heterogeneous trajectories.
Quantitative Data Sources
Survey data
- Rich on attitudes and self-reported behavior
- Subject to nonresponse and social desirability bias
- Useful for measurement of latent constructs
Administrative or transaction data
- Large-scale and behaviorally proximate
- Often limited in construct coverage
- May have access and privacy constraints
Inference Tip
Always distinguish sampling uncertainty from model uncertainty. A precise estimate can still be deeply biased.
What is one main advantage of fixed effects models?
Fixed effects remove bias from unobserved factors that do not change over time within units.
Correct answer: They control for time-invariant unobserved unit characteristics
Why can large administrative datasets still produce weak social-scientific inference?
More data improve precision, not necessarily validity.
Correct answer: Because large does not solve measurement error, selection bias, missing mechanisms, or invalid identification assumptions.
Frontier Methods
Current quantitative work increasingly uses causal machine learning, Bayesian hierarchical models, synthetic controls, and measurement models that integrate text, networks, and geospatial data. A major open problem is to combine predictive performance with interpretability and credible causal identification.
Which issue is most closely associated with survey research?
Survey responses can be distorted by respondents' desire to present themselves favorably.
Correct answer: Social desirability bias