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Random Variables and Common Distributions

Manual: General · Subject: Statistics

Model quantitative outcomes with discrete and continuous probability distributions.

Probability Distributions

Random variables

A random variable assigns a numerical value to each outcome of a random process. Its distribution describes the probabilities of possible values, or the density of values in the continuous case.

Common distributions

DistributionWhen usedKey parameters
BernoulliSingle success/failure trialpp
BinomialCount of successes in nn independent trialsn,pn, p
PoissonCounts of events over time or spaceλ\lambda
NormalMany natural measurements and sampling averagesμ,σ\mu, \sigma

Random variable properties

Expected value
Long-run average outcome, denoted E(X)E(X).
Variance
Measure of spread around the mean, Var(X)Var(X).
Standard deviation
Square root of variance, in original units.
ℹ️

Why the normal distribution appears often

Many sums and averages of small random influences are approximately normal because of the central limit effect.

Which distribution is most appropriate for the number of emails received in an hour if events occur independently at an average rate?

What do the parameters nn and pp represent in a binomial distribution?

Matching a distribution to data

  1. 1

    Step 1: Decide whether the variable is discrete or continuous.

  2. 2

    Step 2: Identify the process generating the data.

  3. 3

    Step 3: Check whether trials are repeated, counts are rare, or values are bell-shaped.

  4. 4

    Step 4: Select the distribution whose assumptions best fit the context.