Random Variables and Common Distributions
Probability Distributions
Random variables
A random variable assigns a numerical value to each outcome of a random process. Its distribution describes the probabilities of possible values, or the density of values in the continuous case.
Common distributions
| Distribution | When used | Key parameters |
|---|---|---|
| Bernoulli | Single success/failure trial | |
| Binomial | Count of successes in independent trials | |
| Poisson | Counts of events over time or space | |
| Normal | Many natural measurements and sampling averages |
Random variable properties
Why the normal distribution appears often
Many sums and averages of small random influences are approximately normal because of the central limit effect.
Which distribution is most appropriate for the number of emails received in an hour if events occur independently at an average rate?
A Poisson model is common for counts over time with a known average rate.
Correct answer: Poisson
What do the parameters and represent in a binomial distribution?
A binomial model counts successes across a fixed number of independent trials.
Correct answer: is the number of trials and is the probability of success on each trial.
Matching a distribution to data
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Step 1: Decide whether the variable is discrete or continuous.
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Step 2: Identify the process generating the data.
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Step 3: Check whether trials are repeated, counts are rare, or values are bell-shaped.
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Step 4: Select the distribution whose assumptions best fit the context.